Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$39K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860404
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: 100%, Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5): 100%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: P: 0%.
there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -37.0pp
37% → 0%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this