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Markets/Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds

Closes April 17, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$890

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860410

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: 46%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8: 44%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9: 34%.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
46%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
44%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
34%

there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles

1%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-46.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this