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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Share on X

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Closed April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$29K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

42% / 43%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1929388

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: L: 47%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9: 40%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: 39%.

there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles
47%

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

40%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
39%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Current

43% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 60¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this