ForecastMind
Markets/Raptors vs. Knicks
Share on X

Raptors vs. Knicks

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
72%NO

Volume 24h

$399K

Liquidity

$493K

Bid / Ask

29% / 30%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

30%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Raptors vs. Knicks" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $399K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Raptors vs. Knicks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861183

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5: 56%, Raptors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5: 55%, Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

31% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Current

31% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this