ForecastMind
Markets/Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
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Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$14K

Liquidity

$67K

Bid / Ask

56% / 57%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938792

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Raptors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5: 55%, Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5: 54%, Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5: 52%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Current

56% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 49¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this