ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
Share on X

Spread: Lakers (-5.5)

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$555

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

5% / 36%

Spread

31.00pp

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-5.5)" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $555 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 31.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Spread: Lakers (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1864309

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Spread: Lakers (-1.5): 21%, Spread: Lakers (-2.5): 18%, Spread: Lakers (-3.5): 15%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~31%.

Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
21%
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
18%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
15%

Spread: Lakers (-5.5)

10%
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
6%
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
0%
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)
0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 90¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this