Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
Closed April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$31K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
4% / 28%
Spread
24.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-1.5)" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 24.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Spread: Lakers (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1872150
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Spread: Lakers (-2.5): 18%, Spread: Lakers (-1.5): 16%, Spread: Lakers (-3.5): 15%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~35%.
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: -8.5pp
45% → 36%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
36% YES (-8.5pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this