Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 40% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.2% ↓, ETH -3.5% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
37% / 43%
Spread
6.20pp
Expert Signal
40%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 6.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879415
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 61%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 33%, price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~5%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +19.7pp
26% → 46%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
46% YES (+19.7pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this