ForecastMind
Markets/Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
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Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$34K

Liquidity

$60K

Bid / Ask

43% / 44%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885461

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

44% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this