ForecastMind
Markets/Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5
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Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$358K

Bid / Ask

51% / 52%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1893299

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

51% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this