ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5
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Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$13

Bid / Ask

19% / 74%

Spread

55.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 55.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885793

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Evan Mobley: Points O/U 5.5: 100%, Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 69%, Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5: 53%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

67%

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +17.5pp

49% → 67%

Apr 6, 2026

Peak probability

67% YES — highest in period

Apr 6, 2026

Current

50% YES (-10.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this