ForecastMind
Markets/Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5
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Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$98

Liquidity

$144

Bid / Ask

98% / 99%

Spread

1.40pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.3pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $98 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1894159

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 98%, Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5: 62%, Evan Mobley: Points O/U 5.5: 61%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 2¢
Edge

+17.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO+17.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this