Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$2K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890664
This event has 9 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: P: 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: 77%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5: 58%.
there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
60% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +40.5pp
60% → 100%
Apr 12, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this