Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$72
Bid / Ask
42% / 45%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1961158
This event has 9 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: P: 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: 77%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5: 58%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
57% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -10.5pp
48% → 37%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
37% YES (-10.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this