Hawks vs. Heat
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.0M
Liquidity
$304K
Bid / Ask
35% / 36%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hawks vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891035
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 50%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5: 48%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5: 46%.
Hawks vs. Heat
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
37% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
36% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this