Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$50K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1950381
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5: 48%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 47%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5: 46%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
51% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this