Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.5% ↑, ETH +0.1% ↑, S&P -0.9% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$33K
Bid / Ask
60% / 61%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
61%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891912
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 65%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 22%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 15%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
56% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this