Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.5% ↑, ETH +0.1% ↑, S&P -0.9% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
21% / 22%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
22%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891915
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 61%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 16%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 15%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~6%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
17% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +7.0pp
18% → 25%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
25% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
24% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this