ForecastMind
Markets/Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5
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Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$129

Liquidity

$217K

Bid / Ask

49% / 50%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $129 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920082

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime : 50%, Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5: 50%, Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5: 50%.

Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
50%

Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5

50%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5
50%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5
50%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this