ForecastMind
Markets/Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5
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Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5

Closes April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 2 signals
44%FIS
2ppvs market 46%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -1.6pp below current market price; market at 46% may be overpriced with macro signals showing 10Y yield -5bps ↓, VIX -5.7% ↓, S&P +0.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

Macro10Y yield -5bps ↓, VIX -5.7% ↓, S&P +0.9% ↑
-1.7pp
HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]
-1.0pp
Live compute05:49 PM

Polymarket Price

50%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

22% / 52%

Spread

30.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 30.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924054

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 57%, Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5: 50%, Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5: 32%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Current

45% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this