Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.6pp below current market price; market at 57% may be overpriced with macro signals showing 10Y yield -5bps ↓, VIX -5.7% ↓, S&P +0.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
55% / 59%
Spread
3.80pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 3.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924061
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 57%, Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5: 44%, Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5: 32%.
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
61% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
57% YES (-1.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this