Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$403K
Liquidity
$0
Bid / Ask
53% / 54%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-4.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $403K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Knicks (-4.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924070
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Spread: Knicks (-4.5): 100%, Spread: Knicks (-3.5): 57%, Spread: Knicks (-5.5): 50%.
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
39% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
100%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +55.0pp
45% → 100%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this