Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
28% / 34%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1937367
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Nuggets: 44%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline: 44%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5: 39%.
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
49% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this