ForecastMind
Markets/Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5
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Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$158

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

33% / 40%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

37%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $158 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1945332

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5: 51%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5: 48%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 46%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 64¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this