Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
Closed April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$396
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
52% / 54%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $396 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1955754
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5: 60%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5: 56%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 51%.
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +30.5pp
70% → 100%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this