Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$288K

Liquidity$292K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosedApr 25, 2026

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets22 markets

22 deadline markets. Combined YES = 844% — 744pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Fulham FC

Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25

100%

Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25

100%

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25

100%

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+62.5pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $288K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-25). "Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1953289