Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. May 31, 2026: 85%, April 30, 2026: 63%, April 23, 2026: 45%.
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade o
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $252K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1961414