Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 6 active outcome markets. May 31, 2026: 87%, April 30, 2026: 63%, April 23, 2026: 46%.
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade o
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2007435