Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$702K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
35% / 36%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
40%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $702K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972309
This event has 5 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 48%, Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5): 37%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 28%.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
47%
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -6.0pp
53% → 47%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
41% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this