ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Share on X

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

20%YES
80%NO

Volume 24h

$34K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

21% / 26%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1974117

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 42%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 40%, Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5): 30%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

45% → 28%

Apr 14, 2026

Current

26% YES (-2.5pp recent)

Apr 15, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 20%99%
Buy YES@ 20¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 80¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this