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Markets/Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

Market Price

99%YES
1%NO

FM Estimate

96%
Vol 24h$11K
Liquidity$29K
Bid / Ask97% / 97%
Spread0.10pp
ClosesMay 14, 2026
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 1 signals

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

5 deadline markets. Combined YES = 340% — 240pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

by June 30, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026

99%
by May 31, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026

95%
by May 16, 2026

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026

86%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on May 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-28). "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1999845