Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?
Market Price
1%YES
99%NO
Vol 24h$34K
Liquidity$29K
Bid / Ask0% / 1%
Spread0.20pp
ClosesMay 31, 2026
Why this matters
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Outcome Markets2 markets
2 deadline markets. Market implies ~97% chance none resolve YES.
by May 8
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8
1%
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
MarketFM Estimate
-0.1pp
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2134500