Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?
Market Price
3%YES
97%NO
Vol 24h$71K
Liquidity$94K
Bid / Ask3% / 3%
Spread0.20pp
ClosesMay 31, 2026
Why this matters
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Outcome Markets2 markets
2 deadline markets. Market implies ~97% chance none resolve YES.
by May 31
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31
3%
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
-1.4pp
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $71K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2134501