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Markets/Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$38K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

4% / 4%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

4%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $38K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/610237

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%
½ Kelly1.2%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this