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Markets/Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$19K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+21.2pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

2% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+17.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+17.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/667088