Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$549K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
94% / 95%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive…
2025
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
93% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
94% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
-5.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $549K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/643550
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