Markets/Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Data as of Mar 29, 2026, 08:45 AM UTC

Closes May 19, 2026

⬡ Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

79%YES

21%NO

Volume 24h

$21

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

78% / 80%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

79%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Order Book (YES)

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Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 79%99%

Buy YES@ 79¢

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Buy NO@ 21¢

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EV per $ wagered

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EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

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From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?" at 79% YES / 21% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 79%, NO 21%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/679653

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