Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Closes June 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$51
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
31% / 36%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
34%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $51 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/708770
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for S: 34%, Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Sen: 30%, David Williams be the Republican nominee for : 22%.
Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in V
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
38% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.5%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this