Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Closes August 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$54K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
52% / 56%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $54K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on August 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907983
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Lisa Demuth: 55%, Kendall Qualls: 24%, Mike Lindell: 12%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~8%.
Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican
Topic Intelligence
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this