Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Closes August 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
21% / 33%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on August 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907990
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Lisa Demuth: 55%, Kendall Qualls: 24%, Mike Lindell: 12%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~8%.
Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republic
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this