Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Scottish National Party: 98%, Welsh Labour: 3%, Welsh Liberal Democrats: 1%.
Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scotti
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/922773