ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5
Share on X

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$211K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

37% / 40%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

27%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+6.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 29, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Current

51% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 73¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $211K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776708