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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
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Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$96K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

63% / 65%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

Full event →
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
84%
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
41%
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
36%
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5
19%
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
19%
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?
10%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $96K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1494644

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.