Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Kings vs. Nets
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$57K
Bid / Ask
7% / 8%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Kings vs. Nets
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -39.0pp
46% → 7%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
7% YES (-39.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+20.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Nets" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Kings vs. Nets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691447
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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