Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Knicks vs. Thunder
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.0M
Liquidity
$79K
Bid / Ask
30% / 31%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
33%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Knicks vs. Thunder
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
28% YES (+5.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.5%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Thunder" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Knicks vs. Thunder." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691455
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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