Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Magic vs. Raptors
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.1M
Liquidity
$104K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Magic vs. Raptors
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
46% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Raptors" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Magic vs. Raptors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691451
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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