ForecastMind
Markets/Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
Share on X

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$194K

Liquidity

$246K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+40.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +24.0pp

60% → 84%

Mar 28, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $194K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743654