Markets/Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Data as of Mar 29, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES

55%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$120K

Bid / Ask

41% / 43%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

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Order Book (YES)

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Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 45%99%

Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Hornets (-2.5)" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Spread: Hornets (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1766133

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