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Markets/Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$175

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

2027

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

3% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $175 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/667081