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Markets/Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
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Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

78%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$481

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

76% / 79%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

2027

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

77% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

77% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.2%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 22¢

-2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $481 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/667086